Even though a p-value does not directly state the probability that the results are due to random chance, it usually gives a reliable indication. That is partly because all a p-value actually tells us is the probability of getting a certain result, assuming the null hypothesis is true. Though p-values are commonly used by both researchers and journals to evaluate scientific results, they’re really confusing, even for many scientists. Julia Galef examines the motivations behind these two mindsets and how. Galef is 39 years old born on July 4, 1983, in Silver Spring, Maryland, in the United States of America. In addition, she is the author of The Scout Mindset published in 2021 by Penguin. In other words, we have what Julia Galef calls a soldier mindset. TED TALK Why you think you’re right, even if you’re wrong Name: Lizbeth Ocampo Reflections (to be submitted by midnight via Canvas): Reflection Part 1: After watching the TED Talk, what was one new idea you learned about critical thinking What points did the speaker make that really resonated with you Minimum 5-7 sentences. When it comes to what we believe, humans see what they want to see. If that possibility is below 5%, normally it is considered significant, meaning that there is enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis (the fact you are examining). Direction: Watch this TED TALK on how to disagree to compliment your NVC reading. Julia Galef a well-known writer and researcher focused on improving human judgment, especially about high stakes questions believes that if we could develop new techniques to resolve disagreements, predict the future and make sound decisions together, we could again dramatically improve the world. Galef also had a TED Talk Why You Think You’re Right Even If You’re Wrong in 2016 that was viewed nearly 5 million times. A better way to combat knee-jerk biases and make smarter decisions, from Julia Galef, the acclaimed expert on rational decision-making. Why you think youre right - even if youre wrong Julia Galef. ![]() Why scout mindset is crucial to good judgement (Julia Galef) Scout mindset is an. TED-Eds mission is to capture and amplify the voices of great educators around the. ![]() Here is the method: you should calculate the possibility (p-value) to achieve randomly the expected result (null hypothesis). Selected TED/TEDx talks on the ethics of innovation in technology. So how did they do it?Īccording to this TED Talk, the answer lies in a statistical method scientists often use to try to figure out whether their results mean something or if they are random noise. They also cover how entrepreneurs approach risk and how the scout mindset manifests in unique ways across different professions. In 2011, a group of researchers conducted a scientific study to find an impossible result: that listening to certain songs can make you younger. Janu Transcript Auren and Julia explore building a scout mindset as defined in Julia’s new book, why embracing being wrong is important and tactical approaches to shifting your mindset.
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